Modeling Conflict Dynamics with Spatio-temporal Data
Zammit-Mangion, Andrew, Dewar, Michael, Kadirkamanathan, Visakan, Flesken, Anaïd, Sanguinetti, Guido
Produktnummer:
1843b4f75aab9c4273a6d584957ff50d3e
Autor: | Dewar, Michael Flesken, Anaïd Kadirkamanathan, Visakan Sanguinetti, Guido Zammit-Mangion, Andrew |
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Themengebiete: | Conflict Prediction Geometric Brownian Motion Heterogeneous Escalation Point Process Modeling Spatiotemporal Modeling WikiLeaks Afghan War Diary complexity data-driven science, modeling and theory building |
Veröffentlichungsdatum: | 11.10.2013 |
EAN: | 9783319010373 |
Sprache: | Englisch |
Seitenzahl: | 74 |
Produktart: | Kartoniert / Broschiert |
Verlag: | Springer International Publishing |
Produktinformationen "Modeling Conflict Dynamics with Spatio-temporal Data"
This authored monograph presents the use of dynamic spatiotemporal modeling tools for the identification of complex underlying processes in conflict, such as diffusion, relocation, heterogeneous escalation, and volatility. The authors use ideas from statistics, signal processing, and ecology, and provide a predictive framework which is able to assimilate data and give confidence estimates on the predictions. The book also demonstrates the methods on the WikiLeaks Afghan War Diary, the results showing that this approach allows deeper insights into conflict dynamics and allows a strikingly statistically accurate forward prediction of armed opposition group activity in 2010, based solely on data from preceding years. The target audience primarily comprises researchers and practitioners in the involved fields but the book may also be beneficial for graduate students.

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